In 2025, there will be a course correction in AI and geopolitics, as world leaders increasingly understand that their national interests are best served through the promise of a more positive and cooperative future. The post-ChatGPT years in AI discourse could be characterized as somewhere between a gold rush and a moral panic. In 2023, at the same time as there was record investment in AI, tech experts, including Elon Musk and Steve Wozniak, published an open letter calling for a six-month moratorium on the training of AI systems more powerful than GPT-4, while others compared AI to a "nuclear war" and a "pandemic." This has understandably clouded the judgment of political leaders, pushing the geopolitical conversation about AI into some disturbing places. At the AI & Geopolitics Project, my research organization at Cambridge University, our analysis clearly shows the increasing trend towards AI nationalism.

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And you have to question what you are reading .. In just a few months .. none of the above seems true More to the point - Can any one country be an AI Superpower? Like the quest for Unicorns - are we searching for the wrong thing when we search for'AI Superpowers'? So, can AI nationalism create a single winner? Expanding this view going forward, we will see the development of parallel technology stacks (for better or for worse). There is a recent parallel for tech policy and AI – and it's the Telecoms model.

Artificial intelligence research was a dying field just a decade ago. Now, AI companies like Google and Baidu are among the richest in the world.

The US and China are leagues ahead of any other country when it comes to AI technology. And it's because they know how to prioritize their own programs. Rather than waste time discussing the dangers of AI with the UN, or crafting global policy, the two countries have become AI nationalists. Artificial intelligence research was a dying field just a decade ago. Now, AI companies like Google and Baidu are among the richest in the world.